Important New Federal Reserve Bank of NY Study Documenting Recent Housing Trends

My old friend and co-author Dr. Joe Tracy has released a new working paper.  This real estate pricing trends paper offers some great graphs.   Here is an example.  Read their paper!  I give the paper's punchline below.

 

Here is their conclusion.

Overall Health Assessment

 
The stabilization of the housing market suggested by various national indicators is corroborated by looking at a number of indicators disaggregated to the county level. Importantly, the median county is now experiencing stable house prices on a year-over-year basis. Transaction volumes in most markets, while still far below normal, have steadied. Finally, the share of distressed sales, although still very high in many markets, appears to have peaked. If these trends continue, then local housing markets are making progress in their convalescence. However, our analysis indicates that most local housing markets still have a way to go to achieve a clean bill of health.

 

 

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