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10/29/2012

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Although the political landscape over the past few years has been rocky (no matter what side of the political spectrum you identify with), I'm really interested in the outcome of this election. Both candidates have moved to basically mirror each other on a number of issues, but on the economy and taxes, the candidates show some significant differences. Has there ever been a regression analysis on big elections to understand what are "significant variables" that really impact the election? In other words, with a number of issues at hand (e.g., jobs, debt, war, foreign policy, women's issues) which of all these variables would actually have a t-stat >2/<-2? It would be interesting to see what really matters and if the votes follow the significant variables or not.

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